Information for buyers Archives

Buy Fresh Buy Local – PEC 2023

Each year the Piedmont Environmental Council (PEC) compiles a directory to find the best of agricultural products in the Central Virginia region. It is a wonderful guide to food products and food events in specific areas for your convenience.

Their directory will connect you to farms, artisans, farmer’s markets, vineyards, orchards, food festivals, maps, farm-to-market restaurants, retailers, and much more….. each in the region of your choice. Click on either of the button links below to see their full brochures and information.
Really.
Just click below, you’ll be amazed.

CHARLOTTESVILLE AREA

PIEDMONT AREA

Charlottesville Health Care

Charlottesville and the Central Virginia area is blessed with an extensive network of hospitals and medical health care services. The two main hospital systems in Charlottesville are the University of Virginia (UVA) Health System and the Sentara Martha Jefferson hospital. In addition there are various other holistic, alternative, and acupuncture options, but for now let’s discuss the two main hospitals.

UVA Health System
The UVA hospital system is the largest in the area, anchored by the UVA hospital facilities in Charlottesville and affiliated with the university as an academic hospital. The UVA main hospital features outpatient services, 700 inpatient beds, surgical and diagnostic treatments, and 71 neonatal intensive care beds. You can click here to access Details of UVA Hospital

A large part of the UVA Health System is its satellite network of regional centers to offer access to specialized care in nearby counties across the area. Those services include inpatient/outpatient, imaging, primary care, surgery, and a clincial cancer center. You can click here to see specific Locations of UVA Medical Facilities

Sentara Martha Jefferson Hospital
Sentara Martha Jefferson was formed when the former Martha Jefferson Hospital merged with Sentara Healthcare in 2011 to expand the range of its services and treatment options. The Charlottesville hospital is a 176-bed care center with 365 affiliated physicians.

Sentara Martha Jefferson Hospital enjoys a spectacular location on Pantops Mountain in Charlottesville with a new facility built in the early 2000’s. This allows services that include a Cancer Care Center, Digestive Care Center, Cardiology Care Center, Orthopedics including Spine Surgery & Joint Replacement Surgery, Bariatric (Weight Loss) Surgery, Neurosciences including Neurosurgery and a Sleep Medicine Center, Stroke Care Center, Thoracic Surgery, Vascular Medicine & Surgery, and a Women’s Health Center.
You can click here to see specific Details of Sentara Martha Jefferson Hospital Care

Broadband and Internet Access in Virginia

People love to purchase country homes or rural properties in Virginia…. often as an alternative to their previous homes in cities or suburbs. We get it. The sheer beauty of our state, the horse farms, the privacy of large acreage, all combine for very good reasons to purchase country properties. So, in the enthusiasm of choosing possible properties, there is a detail that can be overlooked. Most people want or need internet access in their new homes.

The last thing you want to discover in your new home… is that nobody in your new area has access to the internet.

Below are tools for you to use, to research the various broadband connections for your next Virginia property.

You can look up specific addresses to know in advance what is available before you even look at potential property listings.

STATE OF VIRGINIA BROADBAND:
The state sponsors an online tool called Commonwealth Connection. Here is INSTRUCTION TO GET AND USE COMMONWEALTH CONNECTION.

After you’ve gotten some search tips, you can look for details of Virginia broadband by looking up specific addresses at THIS SITE TO SEARCH FOR INTERNET ACCESS BY ADDRESS.

NATIONAL BROADBAND & INTERNET ACCESS:
Nationally, the FCC sponsors a site where you can look up the broadband access anywhere in the country. It will tell you if there’s wireless, DSL, cable, fiber, satellite, or other methods to access broadband at a particular address. You can CLICK HERE FOR AN FCC MAP TO FIND BROADBAND ACCESS ACROSS THE U.S..

In addition, your realtor may provide more details of internet access for each listing as well as advice on local broadband options for properties.

Real Estate Property Taxes in Central VA

In Virginia, property taxes are based on the assessed real estate value, and the rate is expressed as ‘cents per hundred of assessment’. The Real Estate Property Tax is separate from any Personal Property Tax such as boats, cars, etc.

COUNTY	RATE/ per $100
.
ALBEMARLE	O.854
AMHERST	0.61
AUGUSTA	0.63
BEDFORD	0.50
BUCKINGHAM	0.55
CHARLOTTESVILLE	0.95
FLUVANNA	0.884
GOOCHLAND	0.53 (+.32 EXTRA IF TUCKAHOE WATER/SEWER LINES
GREENE	0.82
LOUISA	0.68
MADISON	0.71
NELSON	0.72
ORANGE	0.804
RAPPAHANNOCK	0.73
ROCKBRIDGE	O.74

Adjustable Rate Comparison

An Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) is not as common as a Fixed Rate (i.e, 15 or 30 Year Mortgage), but an ARM may be a better choice for a homeowner who knows they are going to stay in the home for less time than the break even point.

An ARM might easily be 1/2% less than a fixed-rate during the first period of the loan, which can reduce the monthly cost of housing compared to a fixed rate.

The actual rate of an ARM can go up or down during the life of the loan, depending on an independent financial index. If the index rate is higher on the anniversary of your mortgage, the rate of your ARM could go up. But if you believe that rates are going to trend down during the time you own the home, then an adjustable rate could be to your advantage.

A mortgage financial advisor can provide you with a comparison of an Adjustable Rate vs a Fixed Rate to estimate when a Fixed Rate would have been a lower way to finance. There is a breakeven point in terms of months and years.

The ARM may be a better choice for the homeowner who knows they are going to stay in the home less time than the breakeven point. But if you plan for this to be your Forever Home, a Fixed Rate will likely be the better choice. If you’d like a recommendation, please let me know.

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No Need To Make Common Mistakes

A successful home sale, considered by many owners, is to maximize their proceeds in the shortest time with the least inconveniences. Just because it is a seller’s market doesn’t mean that homeowners can shortcut some of the steps that make it happen and they certainly need to avoid commonly made mistakes.

Pricing too high

Low inventory and high demand have contributed to the rising prices of homes. NAR reports that the median sales price is up 17.8% in the past year and CoreLogic recently released data that July set new record growth of 18% year over year. This might give sellers a false sense of security about overpricing their home

Pricing a home too high initially can limit activity, attract the wrong buyers and ultimately, cause the home to realize a lower price than optimum. There is an interesting dynamic that takes place when there is a shortage of homes to show, and a new home hits the market. Buyers, who have been in the market but not purchased yet, will rush out to see the home. They are familiar with what homes are selling for and possibly, have even lost bids on one or more.

These savvy buyers expect certain amenities based on the price of the home. They can tell if a home is priced right or not.

Failure to do Market Preparation

There are people who will buy a home that is not pristine and does not have everything in good working order, but they usually will not pay top dollar for the home. They recognize the money that needs to be spent and will adjust the price accordingly.

To command the highest price, the home needs to be spotlessly clean with everything working as it should be. The home needs to be depersonalized to appeal to the broadest group of people. The clutter needs to be removed so it isn’t distracting or give the impression that the rooms, counters, or closets are small.

It is important to evaluate if painting is necessary along with replacing floor covering, appliances and/or light fixtures.

Thinking the agent doesn’t matter

Market time is down to 17 days and 89% of homes are sold within a month. These statistics might be used to rationalize that an agent is not currently playing an important role in the home but that would be a mistake.

Nine out of ten homeowners use an agent, and the four most important reasons were to help sell the home within a specific timeframe, help price the home competitively, help seller market the home to potential buyers and help the seller find ways to fix up home to sell it for more money.

Being present during showings

It may not be convenient, but sellers should try to leave the home when it is being shown. Buyers like to look at the home freely and ask questions or point out things to their agent. Sellers may have the best of intentions, but they have not established rapport with the buyer and don’t really know what is causing the questions.

Not letting your agent negotiate for you

The role the agent plays as third-party negotiator is one of the most important things an agent does for a seller. It begins long before buyers even make an offer. The protocol is for the buyer’s agent to go to the listing agent with the question and if necessary, they can ask you and get back to the buyer’s agent.

Buyers and sellers have inherently different objectives. Sellers want the highest price and buyers want to pay the least. Sellers want the terms of the contract in their favor and the buyers want them to favor them. Buyers want lots of contingencies to let them out of the contract and sellers want the fewest possible contingencies. Sellers want the most earnest money and buyers want to put up the least possible.

Agents are skilled at negotiation not only because of training but also experience. Sellers’ experience is usually limited to personal transactions separated by years in frequency. Agents see multiple transactions in their daily business and can guide people through difficult areas.

Not responding to offers in a timely manner

Normally, an offer can be withdrawn, at any time, up until the point that it is accepted. The expression a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush reminds us that the offer you have is real and the ones in the bush, may never come to fruition.

A common situation occurs when there is large amount of activity on the home and an offer comes in quickly. Instead of negotiating on that offer, the sellers wait to see if any better ones are received. By waiting, the seller runs the risk of the buyer changing their mind.

Alternatively, in the same situation described, the seller may decide to put the home on the market on Saturday morning and let prospective buyers know that they will be deciding on all offers received over the weekend on Sunday evening.

Your agent is a valuable part of selling a home who can offer advice, bring perspective to the transaction, and suggest different ways to help you achieve your goals. Once you have the right agent, everything else will start to fall into place.

Boutique Hotels

Some of my clients who are combining their real estate search with a vacation have been choosing to stay at one of the Charlottesville area boutique hotels and inns. Below are some of my favorite local places to dine or visit. If you want ideas for places to stay, things to do, and where to eat, I am happy to provide suggestions to accommodate a variety of tastes.</p?

The Boars Head Inn

The Boars Head Resort is a nationally acclaimed luxury hotel/sports complex in Charlottesville, just minutes from the downtown area and adjacent to the Birdwood golf course. The Boars Head is an ideal location for those who seek a weekend getaway as well as anyone who wants a full vacation resort with plenty of sports opportunities. The Boars Head Resort is owned and operated by the University of Virginia Foundation, and it is home to many UVa sports teams. It’s located on 600 beautiful acres, with walking trails that meander past woods, ponds, and wildlife viewing. Accommodations include 168 guest rooms, four restaurants, plus wedding and event spaces.

Guests at the Boars Head have complimentary access to its Sports Club, which is a full fitness and aquatic center with world class tennis and squash facilities. In this link is additional information about the beautiful Birdwood golf course. It’s easy to see why the Boars Head is a favorite of locals and visitors as well.

More Details About the Boars Head Inn and Birdwood Golf

The Clifton Inn

History combines with luxury at the Clifton Inn, a charming upscale European-style boutique hotel, restaurant, and wedding venue. The Inn is set among lovely old trees and beautiful gardens, scenery which lends a serene grandeur to a dinner on the patio or a sunset stroll. It is located near Thomas Jefferson’s Monticello, and in fact it was first built by Jefferson’s son-in-law Thomas Mann. The Clifton Inn is a perfect spot where visitors and locals gather to meet friends on the terrace for drinks or for an elegant meal in the dining room. Seasonal menus at their 1799 restaurant feature organic vegetables and herbs from the Clifton’s own gardens.

Guests who choose to enjoy overnight accommodations have a delightful selection of cottages and suites, all charming and elegantly historic. As one of Charlottesville’s most popular wedding venues, Clifton Inn even has a honeymoon cottage on the grounds. The Inn’s location offers guests proximity to Virginia’s wine and horse country, and is convenient to Charlottesville’s entertainment and amenities.

The Clifton Inn

The Farmhouse at Veritas

Located at Veritas Vineyard and Winery in the heart of Virginia’s wine country, the Farmhouse offers six luxurious bedrooms and fine dining. The home was built in 1839 and was opened to the public in 2012. One of the attractive accommodations is the Barn Cottage which has 2 bedrooms/baths plus a living room, fireplace, and kitchen. Breakfast and a wine hour are included in your stay, and freshly prepared gourmet meals feature various local foods and wines. The Farmhouse is one of my favorite choices for dinner offering an excellent four-course dinner with wine pairings from their vineyards, Tuesday through Saturday. In addition you can enjoy their Sunday sparkling brunch. The Farmhouse at Veritas is also available for special events. You can make reservations or learn more in the link below.
More Details of The Farmhouse at Veritas

The Inn At Court Square

In the center of Charlottesville are the streets where Thomas Jefferson used to walk to the courthouse. The Inn at Court square is across from the historic Court Square Park. This boutique hotel is comprised of two beautifully restored houses. The Federal style house, c.1785, is the oldest existing house in downtown Charlottesville. The second with its rare Mansard roof dates from 1918. Both are charmingly decorated with period antiques, which often are available for purchase.

The Inn has 10 beautifully appointed guest rooms and suites with private bathrooms. Many of the rooms offer fireplaces and whirlpool tubs. Guests enjoy elegant Southern style breakfasts; the dining room is also available to host private functions.

The Inn at Court Square presents a wonderful opportunity to experience a bit of historic Charlottesville, yet it is only a block away from the downtown pedestrian mall and Charlottesville’s vibrant restaurant scene.

Willow Grove

Even from a distance, the Inn at Willow Grove provides a tempting hillside view of southern grandeur. The manor house at Willow Grove Plantation dates from 1778 and additional structures on the property originally included a schoolhouse, a smokehouse, a weaving house, and a spring house. The huge Jeffersonian columns were added to the manor home as part of a balcony addition in the mid 1800’s. All of the property was tastefully renovated by 2010 to provide luxurious boutique hotel resort accommodations that include a Forbes 4-star rated restaurant …. sure to please even the most discerning guests. There are several dining locations in addition to the main dining room, and among those is my favorite, the cozy Pub where locals and visitors relax in its congenial comfortable atmosphere.

Accommodations inside the main hotel include elegantly appointed rooms with fireplaces, soaking tubs and private balconies. The Tenant House Cottage offers a more casual option with its two bedrooms and Creekside Cottage provides 5 unique bedrooms and luxury suites. The adorable Butlers Cottage is a cozy 1-bedroom retreat located in a quiet corner of the gardens. If you have the time, don’t miss The Mill House Spa, a fitness facility with a saltwater pool. It’s easy to see why The Inn at Willow Grove is a popular wedding venue as well.

The Quirk Hotel

A quirk, as defined in the dictionary, is a unique, odd, and sometimes charming trait that makes a person stand out from the crowd. It is the perfect name for Charlottesville’s Quirk Hotel, Quirk Cafe, and Art Gallery.

The Quirk Hotel which is located in downtown Charlottesville was inspired by the Quirk Art Gallery in Richmond. The hotel features 80 guest rooms, with floor-to-ceiling windows that frame views of the town and the distant mountains. In juxtaposition to its modern structure and contemporary art, the hotel also encompasses two adjacent 19th century homes that are rich in local history. There are several bars and dining options, a full fitness center, and its signature quirk: an interesting bi-level art gallery with rotating exhibits and classes.

Quirk also hosts meetings, events, and receptions in its special settings that range from traditional ballrooms to a rooftop restaurant and outdoor lawn area. There is something to please everyone in this uniquely artistic venue.

More Details and Photos of Quirk Hotel and Cafe

Oakhurst Inn

Located across the street from the health facilities of the University of Virginia Medical complex, the Oakhurst Inn was formerly three Craftsman-era residences that have been tastefully renovated to provide 36 guest rooms and meeting spaces. It’s a quiet location that’s a convenient walking distance to much of the university property. “upgrades and designs were completed after an 18-month renovation, and the Oakhurst began welcoming guests in 2014.

There are amenities to make your visit easy and comfortable. The Oakhurst Cafe and Breakfast Bar serves breakfast and lunch daily, and there’s also the cozy Chateau Lobby Bar that serves everything from cocktails to smoothies in a warm inviting atmosphere. You might want to take your refreshments with you while you relax beside their sparkling saltwater swimming pool.

<a href="https://www.oakhurstinn.com/photosMore Details and Photos of Oakhurst Inn

Dinsmore House

Do you know what was happening between 1822 and 1826? During that period there were only 23 states, Ulysses Grant and Harriet Tubman were born, the Last of The Mohicans was first published, the first boat sailed the Erie Canal, and the Rotunda was built at the University of Virginia.

And also during that time, the architect James Dinsmore built the inn that became Charlottesville’s historic Dinsmore House. The same bricks and mortar used in the nearby university Rotunda were also used to build the townhouse at Dinsmore Inn.

The Dinsmore House has had many changes over the years in its transition from a colonial B&B to a full service boutique inn and restaurant. A recent addition is the Farm Bell Kitchen restaurant which serves a popular Southern-inspired brunch each day. There are nine guest rooms, each upscale and tastefully appointed with private baths. Located near the University, Dinsmore House is convenient to all of the downtown shops and events., and it offers you the opportunity to experience colonial style combined with modern luxury.

More Details about the historic Dinsmore House

South Street Inn

As interesting histories go…. the South Street Inn, in the heart of Charlottesville, carries one of the most distinctive histories among Virginia’s inns. It is currently comprised of two homes, the first of which was built in 1856 and sold to a close friend of Thomas Jefferson. It subsequently became a girls’ finishing school, then a boarding house, and at one stage it was even a brothel.

There are currently 24 rooms and suites altogether that are available to the public. Each of the comfortable rooms is furnished in tasteful period appointments. All rooms have private baths and some rooms offer a whirlpool or fireplace or canopy bed. All rooms include a continental breakfast with fresh baked goods and fresh juices.

At the South Street Inn you’ll experience southern elegance only two blocks from Charlottesville’s downtown mall and entertainment center… nearly 60 restaurants and shopping within walking distance! This is an ideal way to enjoy local history in a most convenient setting.

More Details and Photos of the South Street Inn

Keswick Hall

No list of Central Virginia inns would be complete without the elegant impressive Keswick Hall, which includes a beautiful resort complex, elegant dining, and luxurious room accommodations. After 3 years of extensive renovations and a large addition, the hotel has now reopened.

Delightful dining at Keswick Hall is created at its Marigold Restaurant, which calls itself “rustic chic” and features locally sourced and organic fresh produce. The restaurant can accommodate 130 indoor seats, 70 outdoor seats, and 20 bar seats. Or if you prefer, there is in-room dining prepared by acclaimed chef Jean-Georges Vongerichten. Prepare to be pampered if you stay overnight in any of their luxurious guest rooms or suites… all are tastefully appointed and some offer balconies or terraces with views of the 18-hole golf course.

More Details and Photos of Keswick Hall

When a Home Appraisal is Low

Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist for the Virginia Association of Realtors, has recently given us an overview of various market conditions affected by low home appraisals.  Can a low appraisal derail home buyers?

A home appraisal is an evaluation of a home’s market value based on comparable recent sales and sometimes recent listings in the neighborhood. Appraisals are required by a lender to protect both the lender and the buyer and to help to ensure that the buyer is not borrowing more than the home is worth.  

In hot housing markets, like the one we have been in for nearly a year, it can be challenging to accurately appraise the value of a home. Different appraisal values and below-offer appraisals can be confusing for home buyers and sellers and can sometimes prevent a successful transaction. 

Different Methods, Different Values
An appraisal is typically conducted by a licensed real estate appraiser at the request of a lender or borrower. Appraisers generally use data on the prices of comparable homes sold in the last three or six months, or sometimes over a longer period. However, in fast-paced markets, where prices are rising rapidly, looking back at past home prices might not be a good indication of current values. It is important in this busy housing market that appraisers are not only using data on closed sales, but are also using data on pending sales and listings.  

Automated valuation models, or AVMs, have been a popular way for consumers to get an immediate assessment of their home’s value. These AVM values can also sometimes be used in refinance applications. AVMs collect data from multiple listings services, along with data from public records, to compare recent sales and list prices and generate a value for a particular home.  

There are differences in the methodologies in these AVMs, including the types of data used, how frequently the data are updated, and the number of comparables used in the estimate. These differences in data and methods can result in different home value estimates. (I plugged my home address into five different AVMs, and the difference in estimates was more than $100,000.) Because the housing market is so fast-moving, it is important that the data they use are updated very frequently. 

These public-facing AVMs are popular with consumers, but they can also provide misleading information and result in disappointed (or pleasantly surprised) homeowners when a licensed appraisal is produced. 

Appraisals Below Offer 
In this frenzied housing market, bidding wars and offers over list are common. When the home appraises at the contract price, the deal can go off without a hitch. However, appraisals below offer can throw up a roadblock to the purchase.  

While there are stories about buyers losing out due to a low appraisal, the data suggests that it is very uncommon for low appraisals to completely derail a transaction. According to Fannie Mae, an estimated 8% of appraisals came in below offer price in 2017. Zillow estimated that 10% of deals that fell through in 2018 did so because of a low appraisal. More recently, the National Association of REALTORS® reported in August 2020 that appraisal issues accounted for less than 1% of real estate transaction issues. 

Despite the fact that appraisal issues seem to be relatively uncommon, homebuyers that are worried about a home not appraising have increasingly been waiving appraisal contingencies in their offers. Nationally, Redfin estimated that about 20% of winning home offers last summer had waived the appraisal contingency. According to a survey of Virginia REALTORS®, in March 2021, 37% of REALTORS® said that it was very common for buyers to waive the appraisal contingency to make their offers more competitive. For some buyers, waiving the appraisal could be problematic down the road. For others, including those using an FHA or VA loan, an appraisal contingency is not an option.  

Helping Buyers and Sellers When Appraisals Come in Low 
There are several steps REALTORS® can recommend to buyers and sellers if an appraisal comes in lower than expected: 

REALTORS® should remind clients that AVMs are not meant to serve as a formal appraisal and that for most transactions, a lender will require an appraisal from a licensed real estate appraiser. 

Appraisals should include data not only on recent sales, but should also take into account homes that have recently gone under contract and homes currently listed for sale. The fast-paced market means that home prices six or even three months ago are not necessarily a good indicator of current home values. 
Buyers, sellers, and lenders can request a review of the appraisal to see if there were any inaccuracies in the analysis. 

If the appraisal comes in below an offer, buyers could have the option to increase the down payment to make up the difference or take some of the money set aside for a down payment to close the appraisal gap. 
It is also possible that a low appraisal is a sign that the offer price really is above the home’s true value and that the smartest thing for the buyer to do is to step away from the deal and move on to the next home. Having a REALTOR® who can provide sound advice on market conditions will be a tremendous value to buyers in this situation.



*Information as of 07/21/21

Sad Real Estate Story That Keeps Repeating

Ask any real estate agent and they will tell you a similar sad story. The seller, whose home just hit the market, received an offer which was less than the list price, but felt secure that their home would sell quickly … so the seller countered for more. For whatever reason, the buyer did not continue to negotiate and moved on. After a week or two and no other offers, the seller instructed the listing agent to contact the buyer’s agent and say that the seller had reconsidered and would now accept their original offer.

However, the initial enthusiasm the buyer had was gone and they were looking elsewhere. This is a story that frequently happens across America, in all price ranges. The lesson to be learned is that sometimes the first offer is the best.

Consider the rationale, a home is fresh on the market,, and buyers (especially the ones who have lost bids on other homes) act quickly to hopefully avoid some of the competition. When an offer is not accepted, it voids the original offer and, in this case, the seller might make the buyer a counteroffer. The buyer can accept it, make a counteroffer, or walk away. Even if afterwards, the seller reconsiders and says that he will accept the terms of the original offer, the buyer is under no obligation to accept it. Alternatively, if the seller accepts the buyer’s original offer, a contract has been agreed upon based on the terms within. The house is sold and closed once any contingencies such as financing and/or inspections have been satisfied.

Think of an example where a seller countered for an additional $5,000. If he had accepted the original offer, the home would have been sold. In essence, he bought the home back from himself in hopes of making an extra $5,000. To put it in perspective, on a $350,000 home, the additional $5,000 would have been 1.4% of the value. As an investor, the risk involved in having to continue to own the property may not be justified by such a low rate of return. Having the property sold may actually provide peace of mind and convenience that far exceeds the $5,000.

When a seller receives an offer, they are faced with three options.

(1)They can accept the offer and the house is sold considering the contingencies can be met.

(2)The seller can reject the buyer’s offer outright and wait for an acceptable offer.

(3)The seller can counteroffer the buyer with terms that are agreeable to the seller.

Many agents feel that if the offer is not acceptable, the counteroffer alternative presents a greater likelihood of negotiating to an acceptable agreement between the parties. Every situation is unique, but compromise has brought buyers and sellers to agreement in many situations. One of the valuable advantages sellers have is their agent’s experience and lack of emotional connection to the property. Your agent can provide objectivity and alternatives for you to consider in making your decisions.

Recent trends in home prices suggest that this past year has, indeed, been extraordinary. While price growth will remain strong throughout 2021 and into 2022, it is likely that the pace of home price appreciation will slow as demand softens, mortgage rates tick up, and inventory expands.

Lumber Prices and New Construction

People have commented on the current high prices of lumber and how that impacts new construction. Below are observations regarding lumber prices nationally as well as prices in Virginia at this time.

NATIONALLY

Nationally, new home construction has hit a 15-year high, fueled by strong housing demand. In May, home builders started construction on new homes at a pace of 1.57 million annually, a 3.6% increase over April and 50.3% above the level in May 2020.

The National Association of Realtors has recently shared information about the high prices of lumber. The price of framing lumber has plunged about 50% over the last seven weeks, offering up a hopeful sign that skyrocketing building costs would ease. However, builders say that the prices they pay have only declined by a fraction of that percentage. The disconnect in pricing has always existed in the lumber supply chain. It can still be a “long lag time” before the full price reductions come to builders, the National Association of Home Builders reports.

“As the price declines began grabbing headlines, the price of lumber packages quoted to builders held at record highs,” NAHB economist David Logan writes on the association’s blog, Eye on Housing. “This dynamic is primarily due to dealers’ inventory carrying costs and potentially large differences between the price at which inventory is bought and sold.”

The lumber supply chain consists of the following stages: from forest to sawmill to wholesaler to retailer to end user. The association offers up an explanatory reason prices are staying elevated at its Eye on Housing blog. Wholesalers and retailers have incentive to run through their existing inventory and recover what they paid for it—one of many factors that is currently keeping prices elevated for builders.

So, when will lower prices reach the builders and ultimately new-home buyers? The answer is unclear, but builders say more price drops in lumber may be needed. “Prices must fall for long enough to materially lower a supplier’s average costs after a run-up,” the association blog notes. “Depending on the rate and consistency of price decreases and whether prices have stabilized at the lower level, it may take a few weeks to a couple of months for builders to see price relief on the order initially reported in the futures or cash markets.”

Meanwhile, new-home building prices for home buyers continue to rise. In May, the median price of a newly built home was 18% higher than a year ago, at $374,400.

Source: “Why Builder Lumber Prices Remain Higher Than Headlines Suggest,” National Association of Home Builders’ Eye on Housing blog (July 6, 2021)

IN VIRGINIA

According to Dr. Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist for the Virginia Association of Realtors, new housing construction is up, and lumber prices are down. In Virginia, there were 3,125 permits issued for the construction of new residential units in May. Nearly 80% of permits were issued for the construction of single-family homes, while 20% were for units in multifamily buildings, including apartments and condominiums.

Like in many other places around the country, new home construction been on the rise in Virginia. In the first five months of 2021, there was a total of 17,685 permits issued for new housing construction in the state. By comparison, there were just 13,744 permits issued between January and May 2020. Year-to-date, the number of permits for new housing construction was up 28.7% compared to last year, with a 25.0% increase in single-family permits and a 36.3% increase in permits for multifamily housing units.

The cost of construction materials has been a major impediment to new construction. Lumber prices, in particular, surged to historically high levels during the COVID-19 pandemic. Back in March 2020, the futures price of lumber was $303 per thousand board feet. The cost more than quintupled over the past 14 months, reaching a high of $1,608 per thousand board feet in May 2021.

Lumber prices skyrocketed as a result of strong demand for new homes and a major interest in home renovations and DIY projects by people stuck at home. At the same time, supply chains have been disrupted by the pandemic and recession.

However, there is good news on the lumber costs issue. In June 2021, prices fell below $900 per thousand board foot of lumber, reflecting a drop of 44.2% from the recent peak. The drop in lumber prices is good news for builders. Some new residential projects that have been put on hold could start back up again as costs fall.

Lumber prices are falling now as more sawmills have been able to open up more fully and ramp up production. In addition, the opening up of the economy means that more people are back at the office and are spending less time on DIY projects around the house which has led to slower demand from homeowners.

Falling materials costs (e.g., lumber, concrete, steel, brick/masonry) are a good sign for the home building industry and for consumers looking for more choices. However, there are still challenges to home building. The shortage of construction workers, limited building-ready lots, and zoning regulations that limit homebuilding will continue to be challenges to building enough housing to meet demand.

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Buy Fresh Buy Local – PEC 2023

Charlottesville Health Care

Broadband and Internet Access in Virginia

Real Estate Property Taxes in Central VA

Adjustable Rate Comparison